by Entendance on Thu Jul 01, 2010 2:31 pm
<Let's say you *do* miss a golden trading opportunity. What will happen? Fear is a response to perceived danger. Where's the danger? What's the threat?
Very, very often the consequence of a perceived missed opportunity is a bout of angry thinking turned inward. After missing the good trade, the trader launches into self-blaming and a beating up process that mixes guilt with self-directed hostility. "How could you be so stupid?" and "Look how much money you could have made!" are among the common self-recriminations.
It is in this context that the fear of missing is really a fear of one's own negative thinking process.
Let's face it: we *always* miss potential opportunity. If you don't hold trades overnight, you miss possible opportunity. If you don't trade your maximum size, you miss potential opportunity. The reasonable trader knows that it's not about taking every conceivable opportunity: that would be impossible. Rather, it's about limiting your risk, while taking advantage of the best opportunities.
But if the result of missing trades is going to be an avalanche of self-criticism, the danger is not financial risk, but the risk of feeling worse about yourself.>
-B.SteenbargerEvery trend always has its doubters, but I often notice that many skeptics of a trend will slowly become converts due to the fear of missing out on profits or the pain of losses in betting against that trend. The fear of missing out can also be characterized as greed of a sorts, for an investor is not acting based on some desire to own the security - other than the fact that it is going up without him on board. This fear is often fueled during runaway booms like the technology bubble of the late-1990s, as investors heard their friends talking about newfound riches. The fear of missing out came into play for those who wanted to experience the same type of euphoria.
When you think about it, this is a very dangerous situation, as at this stage investors tend essentially to say, "Get me in at any price - I must participate in this hot trend!? The effect of the fear of missing out is a blindness to any potential downside risk, as it seems clear to the investor that there can only be gains ahead from such a "promising" and "obviously beneficial" trend. But there's nothing obvious about it.
-Price Headley
Anse Intendance...because this place is for Uncolonized Minds
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